Conjunction Event Detail

    ✅
    Low Risk
    Low collision probability. Continue monitoring.
    1.154777E-6
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-10-24T21:16:38+0800
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    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 33793
    NORAD ID 33793
    Object Type DEBRIS
    Country
    CIS CIS
    ← VS →

    2 Object 2

    AOE ID 44528
    NORAD ID 44528
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    CN CN

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter COSMOS 2251 DEB ZY-1 02D
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-10-24T19:36:07+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 1.154777E-6
    Conjunction Distance (km) 2.64 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 8.437 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): 2.637 | I (In-track): -0.108 | C (Cross-track): -0.053
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.36
    X Position (km) 2561.284 2562.312
    Position Y (km) -1013.85 -1014.3
    Position Z (km) 6589 6591.388
    Velocity X (km/s) -2.494 -6.972
    Velocity Y (km/s) 6.748 -0.377
    Velocity Z (km/s) 2.058 2.65

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter COSMOS 2251 DEB ZY-1 02D
    Semimajor Axis (a) 7174.739 km 7152.239 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.007667 0.000422
    Inclination (i) 73.9796° 98.6589°
    RAAN 297.5128° 359.2767°
    Perigee Argument 14.6153° 7.7055°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 135.7095° 352.4194°
    Apogee 851.613 km 777.121 km
    Perigee 741.591 km 771.083 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-10-23T10:20:58+0000 2026-10-24T07:34:15+0000

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & ZY-1 02D Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & ZY-1 02D Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & ZY-1 02D Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & ZY-1 02D Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEBMiss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    ZY-1 02DMiss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEBCollision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    ZY-1 02DCollision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with COSMOS 2251 DEB

    No nearby objects data