Conjunction Event Detail

    ✅
    Low Risk
    Low collision probability. Continue monitoring.
    3.717015E-6
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-10-10T06:56:44+0800
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    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 34451
    NORAD ID 34451
    Object Type DEBRIS
    Country
    CIS CIS
    ← VS →

    2 Object 2

    AOE ID 64538
    NORAD ID 64538
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    ES ES

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter COSMOS 2251 DEB IOD2_STARTICAL
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-10-10T02:52:51+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 3.717015E-6
    Conjunction Distance (km) 1.813 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 14.678 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): -1.709 | I (In-track): 0.149 | C (Cross-track): 0.583
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.46
    X Position (km) 1313.877 1313.332
    Position Y (km) 2039.903 2039.942
    Position Z (km) -6452.272 -6450.545
    Velocity X (km/s) -7.386 5.937
    Velocity Y (km/s) -0.51 4.031
    Velocity Z (km/s) -1.68 2.483

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter COSMOS 2251 DEB IOD2_STARTICAL
    Semimajor Axis (a) 6882.078 km 6880.650 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.001864 0.000573
    Inclination (i) 74.0411° 97.4803°
    RAAN 189.6940° 35.9425°
    Perigee Argument 147.1371° 128.5103°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 213.0990° 231.6647°
    Apogee 516.770 km 506.455 km
    Perigee 491.112 km 498.571 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-10-09T03:39:06+0000 2026-10-09T06:40:02+0000

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & IOD2_STARTICAL Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & IOD2_STARTICAL Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & IOD2_STARTICAL Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & IOD2_STARTICAL Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEBMiss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    IOD2_STARTICALMiss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEBCollision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    IOD2_STARTICALCollision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with COSMOS 2251 DEB

    No nearby objects data