Conjunction Event Detail

    Low Risk
    Low collision probability. Continue monitoring.
    1.791497E-6
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-09-14T11:53:18+0800
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    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 10932
    NORAD ID 10932
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    CIS CIS
    VS

    2 Object 2

    AOE ID 18114
    NORAD ID 18114
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    CIS CIS

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter COSMOS 1015 COSMOS 1853
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-09-14T20:15:33+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 1.791497E-6
    Conjunction Distance (km) 2.345 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 12.486 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): 2.292 | I (In-track): 0.238 | C (Cross-track): 0.436
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.4
    X Position (km) -3148.575 -3147.302
    Position Y (km) 3243.982 3243.382
    Position Z (km) -6440.198 -6438.323
    Velocity X (km/s) -6 1.107
    Velocity Y (km/s) 1.287 -6.04
    Velocity Z (km/s) 3.604 -3.585

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter COSMOS 1015 COSMOS 1853
    Semimajor Axis (a) 7872.821 km 7855.120 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.002729 0.000582
    Inclination (i) 74.0276° 74.0023°
    RAAN 160.0697° 291.3117°
    Perigee Argument 3.2593° 46.5835°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 115.6622° 125.6480°
    Apogee 1516.169 km 1481.556 km
    Perigee 1473.199 km 1472.410 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-09-13T10:26:15+0000 2026-09-13T20:48:11+0000

    COSMOS 1015 & COSMOS 1853 Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    COSMOS 1015 & COSMOS 1853 Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1015 & COSMOS 1853 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    COSMOS 1015 & COSMOS 1853 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1015Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1853Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1015Collision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1853Collision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with COSMOS 1015

    No nearby objects data