Conjunction Event Detail

    ⚠
    Medium Risk
    Monitor closely. Maneuver recommended for primary asset.
    1.147601E-5
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-10-30T20:57:05+0800
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    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 14521
    NORAD ID 14521
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    CIS CIS
    ← VS →

    2 Object 2

    AOE ID 39497
    NORAD ID 39497
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    CIS CIS

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter COSMOS 1510 COSMOS 2491
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-11-01T20:45:05+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 1.147601E-5
    Conjunction Distance (km) 1.042 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 5.322 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): 0.521 | I (In-track): -0.836 | C (Cross-track): -0.337
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.56
    X Position (km) -1266.723 -1266.386
    Position Y (km) -1997.496 -1998.21
    Position Z (km) 7490.96 7490.281
    Velocity X (km/s) 4.377 -0.66
    Velocity Y (km/s) -5.577 -6.826
    Velocity Z (km/s) -0.758 -1.936

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter COSMOS 1510 COSMOS 2491
    Semimajor Axis (a) 7879.637 km 7869.942 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.002716 0.001358
    Inclination (i) 73.6143° 82.4827°
    RAAN 130.4566° 84.1673°
    Perigee Argument 139.0606° 154.0375°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 232.5799° 206.1389°
    Apogee 1522.902 km 1502.497 km
    Perigee 1480.098 km 1481.113 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-10-29T18:47:43+0000 2026-10-29T22:40:08+0000

    COSMOS 1510 & COSMOS 2491 Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    COSMOS 1510 & COSMOS 2491 Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1510 & COSMOS 2491 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    COSMOS 1510 & COSMOS 2491 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1510Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2491Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1510Collision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2491Collision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with COSMOS 1510

    No nearby objects data