Conjunction Event Detail

    ✅
    Low Risk
    Low collision probability. Continue monitoring.
    4.899384E-6
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-10-31T06:10:16+0800
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    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 5552
    NORAD ID 5552
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    CIS CIS
    ← VS →

    2 Object 2

    AOE ID 9963
    NORAD ID 9963
    Object Type DEBRIS
    Country
    CIS CIS

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter COSMOS 449 COSMOS 886 DEB
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-11-01T14:21:35+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 4.899384E-6
    Conjunction Distance (km) 1.606 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 12.849 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): 0.314 | I (In-track): -0.613 | C (Cross-track): 1.45
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.49
    X Position (km) 6762.799 6763.283
    Position Y (km) 672.946 671.416
    Position Z (km) 4017.036 4017.094
    Velocity X (km/s) -3.661 3.082
    Velocity Y (km/s) 1.917 3.609
    Velocity Z (km/s) 5.778 -5.026

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter COSMOS 449 COSMOS 886 DEB
    Semimajor Axis (a) 7890.108 km 7491.996 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.003670 0.077398
    Inclination (i) 74.0313° 65.7923°
    RAAN 358.7815° 206.7794°
    Perigee Argument 138.7650° 9.6549°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 232.9871° 351.8435°
    Apogee 1540.931 km 1693.728 km
    Perigee 1483.011 km 533.990 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-10-30T09:55:11+0000 2026-10-30T04:18:00+0000

    COSMOS 449 & COSMOS 886 DEB Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    COSMOS 449 & COSMOS 886 DEB Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 449 & COSMOS 886 DEB Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    COSMOS 449 & COSMOS 886 DEB Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 449Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 886 DEBMiss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 449Collision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 886 DEBCollision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with COSMOS 449

    No nearby objects data