Conjunction Event Detail

    ✅
    Low Risk
    Low collision probability. Continue monitoring.
    3.857053E-6
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-10-30T15:28:33+0800
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    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 5552
    NORAD ID 5552
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    CIS CIS
    ← VS →

    2 Object 2

    AOE ID 9963
    NORAD ID 9963
    Object Type DEBRIS
    Country
    CIS CIS

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter COSMOS 449 COSMOS 886 DEB
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-11-01T14:21:35+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 3.857053E-6
    Conjunction Distance (km) 1.737 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 12.849 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): 0.297 | I (In-track): -0.661 | C (Cross-track): 1.578
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.47
    X Position (km) 6762.713 6763.198
    Position Y (km) 673.013 671.346
    Position Z (km) 4017.176 4017.221
    Velocity X (km/s) -3.662 3.082
    Velocity Y (km/s) 1.917 3.609
    Velocity Z (km/s) 5.778 -5.026

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter COSMOS 449 COSMOS 886 DEB
    Semimajor Axis (a) 7890.108 km 7492.004 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.003671 0.077392
    Inclination (i) 74.0314° 65.7923°
    RAAN 359.4865° 207.8339°
    Perigee Argument 139.5686° 9.8575°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 336.4226° 351.6701°
    Apogee 1540.934 km 1693.686 km
    Perigee 1483.008 km 534.048 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-10-29T20:54:51+0000 2026-10-29T17:32:35+0000

    COSMOS 449 & COSMOS 886 DEB Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    COSMOS 449 & COSMOS 886 DEB Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 449 & COSMOS 886 DEB Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    COSMOS 449 & COSMOS 886 DEB Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 449Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 886 DEBMiss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 449Collision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 886 DEBCollision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with COSMOS 449

    No nearby objects data