Conjunction Event Detail

    ⚠
    High Risk
    High collision probability. Maneuver recommended for primary asset.
    5.10793E-4
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-10-30T20:41:52+0800
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    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 34477
    NORAD ID 34477
    Object Type DEBRIS
    Country
    CIS CIS
    ← VS →

    2 Object 2

    AOE ID 40086
    NORAD ID 40086
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    ORB ORB

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter COSMOS 2251 DEB ORBCOMM FM 109
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-11-01T14:03:00+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 5.10793E-4
    Conjunction Distance (km) 0.197 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 3.659 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): 0.18 | I (In-track): 0.079 | C (Cross-track): 0.018
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.89
    X Position (km) 6833.596 6833.756
    Position Y (km) -513.019 -512.992
    Position Z (km) -1763.638 -1763.75
    Velocity X (km/s) -1.677 -0.925
    Velocity Y (km/s) 2.271 5.369
    Velocity Z (km/s) -6.957 -5.164

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter COSMOS 2251 DEB ORBCOMM FM 109
    Semimajor Axis (a) 7076.317 km 7074.679 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.007433 0.000099
    Inclination (i) 73.9766° 47.0009°
    RAAN 177.0274° 178.5144°
    Perigee Argument 286.7112° 114.1459°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 103.4623° 245.9530°
    Apogee 750.777 km 697.242 km
    Perigee 645.583 km 695.842 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-10-29T16:09:02+0000 2026-10-29T01:18:58+0000

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & ORBCOMM FM 109 Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & ORBCOMM FM 109 Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & ORBCOMM FM 109 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & ORBCOMM FM 109 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEBMiss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    ORBCOMM FM 109Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEBCollision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    ORBCOMM FM 109Collision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with COSMOS 2251 DEB

    No nearby objects data