Conjunction Event Detail

    ✅
    Low Risk
    Low collision probability. Continue monitoring.
    1.365995E-6
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-11-01T11:28:00+0800
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    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 2872
    NORAD ID 2872
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    US US
    ← VS →

    2 Object 2

    AOE ID 40707
    NORAD ID 40707
    Object Type DEBRIS
    Country
    CIS CIS

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter SURCAL 159 METEOR 2-11 DEB
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-11-01T04:46:37+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 1.365995E-6
    Conjunction Distance (km) 2.91 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 14.343 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): -2.894 | I (In-track): 0.076 | C (Cross-track): 0.288
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.38
    X Position (km) -2136.096 -2134.969
    Position Y (km) -6628.628 -6626.091
    Position Z (km) -2112.682 -2111.811
    Velocity X (km/s) 3.135 0.309
    Velocity Y (km/s) 1.099 -2.327
    Velocity Z (km/s) -6.613 7.025

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter SURCAL 159 METEOR 2-11 DEB
    Semimajor Axis (a) 7273.216 km 7278.731 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.000953 0.001371
    Inclination (i) 69.9743° 82.5181°
    RAAN 66.7939° 255.7074°
    Perigee Argument 290.7171° 16.5076°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 69.2916° 343.6535°
    Apogee 902.007 km 910.572 km
    Perigee 888.151 km 890.616 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-10-31T17:32:33+0000 2026-10-30T15:04:10+0000

    SURCAL 159 & METEOR 2-11 DEB Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    SURCAL 159 & METEOR 2-11 DEB Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    SURCAL 159 & METEOR 2-11 DEB Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    SURCAL 159 & METEOR 2-11 DEB Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    SURCAL 159Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    METEOR 2-11 DEBMiss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    SURCAL 159Collision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    METEOR 2-11 DEBCollision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with SURCAL 159

    No nearby objects data