Conjunction Event Detail

    ✅
    Low Risk
    Low collision probability. Continue monitoring.
    1.573646E-6
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-10-30T17:30:02+0800
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    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 22236
    NORAD ID 22236
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    CIS CIS
    ← VS →

    2 Object 2

    Name AE1A
    AOE ID 68487
    NORAD ID 68487
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    JP JP

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter COSMOS 2221 AE1A
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-10-31T10:35:21+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 1.573646E-6
    Conjunction Distance (km) 2.659 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 14.662 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): 2.32 | I (In-track): 0.307 | C (Cross-track): 1.262
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.39
    X Position (km) 904.715 906.2
    Position Y (km) -308.778 -309.384
    Position Z (km) -6906.022 -6908.142
    Velocity X (km/s) 4.486 -1.214
    Velocity Y (km/s) 6.059 -7.448
    Velocity Z (km/s) 0.312 0.174

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter COSMOS 2221 AE1A
    Semimajor Axis (a) 6954.755 km 6965.109 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.001543 0.000274
    Inclination (i) 82.5046° 97.7733°
    RAAN 54.7577° 258.8195°
    Perigee Argument 122.5748° 121.5487°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 237.6967° 238.6000°
    Apogee 587.350 km 588.879 km
    Perigee 565.886 km 585.065 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-10-29T18:52:20+0000 2026-10-29T07:31:56+0000

    COSMOS 2221 & AE1A Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    COSMOS 2221 & AE1A Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2221 & AE1A Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    COSMOS 2221 & AE1A Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2221Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    AE1AMiss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2221Collision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    AE1ACollision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with COSMOS 2221

    No nearby objects data