Conjunction Event Detail

    ⚠
    Medium Risk
    Monitor closely. Maneuver recommended for primary asset.
    2.06154E-5
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-10-30T23:38:29+0800
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    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 38302
    NORAD ID 38302
    Object Type DEBRIS
    Country
    CN CN
    ← VS →

    2 Object 2

    AOE ID 58638
    NORAD ID 58638
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    US US

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter CZ-2D DEB STARLINK-31078
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-10-31T00:11:39+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 2.06154E-5
    Conjunction Distance (km) 1.075 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 14.248 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): 1.007 | I (In-track): 0.127 | C (Cross-track): -0.352
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.61
    X Position (km) 6246.043 6247.024
    Position Y (km) -2154.816 -2154.803
    Position Z (km) 1837.604 1838.04
    Velocity X (km/s) -2.284 3.151
    Velocity Y (km/s) -0.296 5.036
    Velocity Z (km/s) 7.259 -4.784

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter CZ-2D DEB STARLINK-31078
    Semimajor Axis (a) 6838.214 km 6861.202 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.005033 0.000129
    Inclination (i) 97.4549° 43.0039°
    RAAN 341.9296° 187.3597°
    Perigee Argument 143.8706° 258.4032°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 216.5956° 101.6674°
    Apogee 494.493 km 483.951 km
    Perigee 425.661 km 482.179 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-10-29T21:32:03+0000 2026-10-29T09:50:55+0000

    CZ-2D DEB & STARLINK-31078 Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    CZ-2D DEB & STARLINK-31078 Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    CZ-2D DEB & STARLINK-31078 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    CZ-2D DEB & STARLINK-31078 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    CZ-2D DEBMiss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-31078Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    CZ-2D DEBCollision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-31078Collision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with CZ-2D DEB

    No nearby objects data