Conjunction Event Detail

    ⚠
    Medium Risk
    Monitor closely. Maneuver recommended for primary asset.
    2.724151E-5
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-10-30T16:35:24+0800
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    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 8153
    NORAD ID 8153
    Object Type DEBRIS
    Country
    US US
    ← VS →

    2 Object 2

    AOE ID 39059
    NORAD ID 39059
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    CIS CIS

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter THORAD DELTA 1 DEB COSMOS 2484
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-10-30T21:14:26+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 2.724151E-5
    Conjunction Distance (km) 0.992 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 14.311 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): 0.917 | I (In-track): -0.023 | C (Cross-track): -0.377
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.64
    X Position (km) 2348.936 2349.449
    Position Y (km) -3345.098 -3345.201
    Position Z (km) 6697.556 6698.399
    Velocity X (km/s) -5.473 4.857
    Velocity Y (km/s) 3.245 -3.803
    Velocity Z (km/s) 3.37 -3.587

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter THORAD DELTA 1 DEB COSMOS 2484
    Semimajor Axis (a) 8017.532 km 7872.285 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.028304 0.002682
    Inclination (i) 100.9025° 82.4988°
    RAAN 322.3806° 138.1161°
    Perigee Argument 107.1680° 98.7991°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 42.5461° 261.6128°
    Apogee 1866.327 km 1515.264 km
    Perigee 1412.463 km 1473.032 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-10-29T13:57:15+0000 2026-10-29T23:20:48+0000

    THORAD DELTA 1 DEB & COSMOS 2484 Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    THORAD DELTA 1 DEB & COSMOS 2484 Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    THORAD DELTA 1 DEB & COSMOS 2484 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    THORAD DELTA 1 DEB & COSMOS 2484 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    THORAD DELTA 1 DEBMiss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2484Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    THORAD DELTA 1 DEBCollision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2484Collision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with THORAD DELTA 1 DEB

    No nearby objects data