Conjunction Event Detail

    ✅
    Low Risk
    Low collision probability. Continue monitoring.
    5.130187E-6
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-10-28T14:45:14+0800
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    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 22186
    NORAD ID 22186
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    CIS CIS
    ← VS →

    2 Object 2

    AOE ID 42614
    NORAD ID 42614
    Object Type DEBRIS
    Country
    US US

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter COSMOS 2215 THORAD DELTA 1 DEB
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-10-30T16:09:45+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 5.130187E-6
    Conjunction Distance (km) 1.618 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 14.281 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): -1.053 | I (In-track): -0.038 | C (Cross-track): -1.227
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.49
    X Position (km) 2415.919 2416.756
    Position Y (km) -7169.302 -7167.995
    Position Z (km) 1920.078 1919.624
    Velocity X (km/s) 0.342 -0.898
    Velocity Y (km/s) 1.957 -2.094
    Velocity Z (km/s) 6.863 -6.774

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter COSMOS 2215 THORAD DELTA 1 DEB
    Semimajor Axis (a) 7797.093 km 7801.136 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.001158 0.004012
    Inclination (i) 82.5963° 101.9018°
    RAAN 288.4968° 102.5507°
    Perigee Argument 234.9860° 265.9416°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 125.0144° 108.2658°
    Apogee 1427.985 km 1454.300 km
    Perigee 1409.927 km 1391.698 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-10-27T21:26:16+0000 2026-10-27T16:51:11+0000

    COSMOS 2215 & THORAD DELTA 1 DEB Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    COSMOS 2215 & THORAD DELTA 1 DEB Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2215 & THORAD DELTA 1 DEB Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    COSMOS 2215 & THORAD DELTA 1 DEB Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2215Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    THORAD DELTA 1 DEBMiss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2215Collision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    THORAD DELTA 1 DEBCollision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with COSMOS 2215

    No nearby objects data