Conjunction Event Detail

    ⚠
    High Risk
    High collision probability. Maneuver recommended for primary asset.
    2.552053E-4
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-10-28T17:28:55+0800
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    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 38863
    NORAD ID 38863
    Object Type DEBRIS
    Country
    CN CN
    ← VS →

    2 Object 2

    AOE ID 59419
    NORAD ID 59419
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    US US

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter CZ-2C DEB STARLINK-31415
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-10-30T06:52:10+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 2.552053E-4
    Conjunction Distance (km) 0.446 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 14.142 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): -0.425 | I (In-track): 0.058 | C (Cross-track): -0.119
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.83
    X Position (km) 6088.995 6088.611
    Position Y (km) 1876.644 1876.641
    Position Z (km) -2550.149 -2549.922
    Velocity X (km/s) 2.994 -3.434
    Velocity Y (km/s) -0.203 5.224
    Velocity Z (km/s) 7.007 -4.361

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter CZ-2C DEB STARLINK-31415
    Semimajor Axis (a) 6861.627 km 6861.210 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.000654 0.000138
    Inclination (i) 97.5331° 42.9991°
    RAAN 11.7159° 186.4965°
    Perigee Argument 316.8150° 265.0888°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 43.2575° 284.8375°
    Apogee 487.981 km 484.017 km
    Perigee 478.999 km 482.129 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-10-27T22:21:53+0000 2026-10-27T16:00:03+0000

    CZ-2C DEB & STARLINK-31415 Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    CZ-2C DEB & STARLINK-31415 Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    CZ-2C DEB & STARLINK-31415 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    CZ-2C DEB & STARLINK-31415 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    CZ-2C DEBMiss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-31415Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    CZ-2C DEBCollision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-31415Collision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with CZ-2C DEB

    No nearby objects data