Conjunction Event Detail

    ⚠
    Medium Risk
    Monitor closely. Maneuver recommended for primary asset.
    1.143365E-5
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-10-28T01:19:09+0800
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    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 44424
    NORAD ID 44424
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    CIS CIS
    ← VS →

    2 Object 2

    AOE ID 63803
    NORAD ID 63803
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    US US

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter COSMOS 2538 STARLINK-33951
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-10-30T06:20:08+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 1.143365E-5
    Conjunction Distance (km) 1.264 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 13.823 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): 1.263 | I (In-track): 0.025 | C (Cross-track): -0.063
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.56
    X Position (km) 5161.948 5162.885
    Position Y (km) 2777.718 2778.289
    Position Z (km) -3566.544 -3567.171
    Velocity X (km/s) 4.019 -4.893
    Velocity Y (km/s) 0.825 4.776
    Velocity Z (km/s) 6.435 -3.365

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter COSMOS 2538 STARLINK-33951
    Semimajor Axis (a) 6878.125 km 6861.164 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.003949 0.000138
    Inclination (i) 97.5797° 42.9990°
    RAAN 20.5968° 185.4917°
    Perigee Argument 305.0997° 214.6069°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 54.6539° 145.4693°
    Apogee 527.152 km 483.971 km
    Perigee 472.824 km 482.083 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-10-27T05:53:20+0000 2026-10-27T02:00:42+0000

    COSMOS 2538 & STARLINK-33951 Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    COSMOS 2538 & STARLINK-33951 Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2538 & STARLINK-33951 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    COSMOS 2538 & STARLINK-33951 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2538Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-33951Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2538Collision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-33951Collision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with COSMOS 2538

    No nearby objects data