Conjunction Event Detail

    ⚠
    Medium Risk
    Monitor closely. Maneuver recommended for primary asset.
    1.814136E-5
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-10-28T13:33:39+0800
    View CDM
    Download CDM 1.0

    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 19210
    NORAD ID 19210
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    CIS CIS
    ← VS →

    2 Object 2

    AOE ID 59616
    NORAD ID 59616
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    US US

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter COSMOS 1953 STARLINK-31768
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-10-30T02:34:15+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 1.814136E-5
    Conjunction Distance (km) 1.083 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 12.366 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): 1.043 | I (In-track): -0.167 | C (Cross-track): -0.24
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.6
    X Position (km) -1653.513 -1653.533
    Position Y (km) 5418.264 5419.232
    Position Z (km) -3874.279 -3874.762
    Velocity X (km/s) 0.088 -7.04
    Velocity Y (km/s) -4.409 -0.066
    Velocity Z (km/s) -6.207 2.917

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter COSMOS 1953 STARLINK-31768
    Semimajor Axis (a) 6849.242 km 6863.286 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.001123 0.000466
    Inclination (i) 82.5040° 43.0027°
    RAAN 283.9577° 171.8371°
    Perigee Argument 32.7591° 310.7186°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 327.4344° 49.3260°
    Apogee 478.797 km 488.346 km
    Perigee 463.413 km 481.952 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-10-27T23:27:38+0000 2026-10-26T23:26:57+0000

    COSMOS 1953 & STARLINK-31768 Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    COSMOS 1953 & STARLINK-31768 Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1953 & STARLINK-31768 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    COSMOS 1953 & STARLINK-31768 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1953Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-31768Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1953Collision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-31768Collision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with COSMOS 1953

    No nearby objects data