Conjunction Event Detail

    ✅
    Low Risk
    Low collision probability. Continue monitoring.
    4.664558E-6
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-10-29T18:51:29+0800
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    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 35073
    NORAD ID 35073
    Object Type DEBRIS
    Country
    CIS CIS
    ← VS →

    2 Object 2

    AOE ID 59215
    NORAD ID 59215
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    US US

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter COSMOS 2251 DEB STARLINK-31434
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-10-29T15:53:34+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 4.664558E-6
    Conjunction Distance (km) 1.611 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 12.136 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): 1.515 | I (In-track): -0.333 | C (Cross-track): 0.437
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.48
    X Position (km) -5108.575 -5107.503
    Position Y (km) -370.199 -370.652
    Position Z (km) 4527.307 4526.192
    Velocity X (km/s) -4.5 3.472
    Velocity Y (km/s) -3.145 -5.879
    Velocity Z (km/s) -5.305 3.427

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter COSMOS 2251 DEB STARLINK-31434
    Semimajor Axis (a) 6835.662 km 6840.942 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.001503 0.000128
    Inclination (i) 73.9807° 53.1564°
    RAAN 22.5583° 148.4672°
    Perigee Argument 23.5218° 96.7312°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 336.6671° 275.1663°
    Apogee 467.800 km 463.683 km
    Perigee 447.250 km 461.927 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-10-27T22:40:00+0000 2026-10-28T10:00:02+0000

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & STARLINK-31434 Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & STARLINK-31434 Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & STARLINK-31434 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & STARLINK-31434 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEBMiss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-31434Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEBCollision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-31434Collision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with COSMOS 2251 DEB

    No nearby objects data