Conjunction Event Detail

    ⚠
    Medium Risk
    Monitor closely. Maneuver recommended for primary asset.
    8.368723E-5
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-10-27T15:53:21+0800
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    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 34451
    NORAD ID 34451
    Object Type DEBRIS
    Country
    CIS CIS
    ← VS →

    2 Object 2

    AOE ID 58645
    NORAD ID 58645
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    CN CN

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter COSMOS 2251 DEB TIANMU-1 11
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-10-27T10:46:51+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 8.368723E-5
    Conjunction Distance (km) 0.709 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 15.137 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): 0.684 | I (In-track): -0.037 | C (Cross-track): -0.184
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.73
    X Position (km) 2880.02 2880.193
    Position Y (km) -3303.782 -3304.258
    Position Z (km) 5275.569 5276.066
    Velocity X (km/s) 5.962 -4.925
    Velocity Y (km/s) -1.842 3.332
    Velocity Z (km/s) -4.39 4.766

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter COSMOS 2251 DEB TIANMU-1 11
    Semimajor Axis (a) 6875.034 km 6859.549 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.001803 0.000679
    Inclination (i) 74.0374° 97.3389°
    RAAN 153.0793° 319.5413°
    Perigee Argument 104.1763° 253.7245°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 256.1441° 106.3249°
    Apogee 509.292 km 486.069 km
    Perigee 484.502 km 476.755 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-10-26T13:43:58+0000 2026-10-26T23:33:29+0000

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & TIANMU-1 11 Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & TIANMU-1 11 Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & TIANMU-1 11 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & TIANMU-1 11 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEBMiss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    TIANMU-1 11Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEBCollision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    TIANMU-1 11Collision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with COSMOS 2251 DEB

    No nearby objects data