Conjunction Event Detail

    ✅
    Low Risk
    Low collision probability. Continue monitoring.
    5.031745E-6
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-10-25T03:00:37+0800
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    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 19909
    NORAD ID 19909
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    CIS CIS
    ← VS →

    2 Object 2

    AOE ID 21983
    NORAD ID 21983
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    CIS CIS

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter COSMOS 2015 COSMOS 2194
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-10-25T06:16:47+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 5.031745E-6
    Conjunction Distance (km) 1.614 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 13.68 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): -0.738 | I (In-track): 0.41 | C (Cross-track): -1.374
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.49
    X Position (km) 7048.875 7048.755
    Position Y (km) -2894.121 -2892.522
    Position Z (km) 1883.364 1883.19
    Velocity X (km/s) -0.762 2.302
    Velocity Y (km/s) 2.501 1.242
    Velocity Z (km/s) 6.641 -6.632

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter COSMOS 2015 COSMOS 2194
    Semimajor Axis (a) 7867.543 km 7849.007 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.002510 0.001623
    Inclination (i) 74.0118° 74.0020°
    RAAN 335.1986° 163.3534°
    Perigee Argument 34.4518° 81.5895°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 348.7900° 69.7934°
    Apogee 1509.155 km 1483.606 km
    Perigee 1469.657 km 1458.134 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-10-24T01:22:45+0000 2026-10-24T01:21:40+0000

    COSMOS 2015 & COSMOS 2194 Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    COSMOS 2015 & COSMOS 2194 Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2015 & COSMOS 2194 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    COSMOS 2015 & COSMOS 2194 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2015Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2194Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2015Collision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2194Collision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with COSMOS 2015

    No nearby objects data