Conjunction Event Detail

    ✅
    Low Risk
    Low collision probability. Continue monitoring.
    1.392399E-6
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-10-23T23:01:03+0800
    View CDM
    Download CDM 1.0

    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 643
    NORAD ID 643
    Object Type DEBRIS
    Country
    US US
    ← VS →

    2 Object 2

    AOE ID 38354
    NORAD ID 38354
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    CN CN

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter THOR ABLESTAR DEB YAOGAN 15
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-10-24T10:52:21+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 1.392399E-6
    Conjunction Distance (km) 2.036 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 4.923 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): 0.786 | I (In-track): -1.757 | C (Cross-track): 0.661
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.38
    X Position (km) 4925.553 4926.603
    Position Y (km) -4383.165 -4384.4
    Position Z (km) -3761.005 -3759.775
    Velocity X (km/s) -0.294 -3.648
    Velocity Y (km/s) 4.708 1.173
    Velocity Z (km/s) -5.443 -6.138

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter THOR ABLESTAR DEB YAOGAN 15
    Semimajor Axis (a) 7498.356 km 7569.026 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.032206 0.002553
    Inclination (i) 66.3688° 100.7195°
    RAAN 127.3720° 143.3295°
    Perigee Argument 326.4309° 2.8940°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 31.6692° 357.2317°
    Apogee 1361.711 km 1210.213 km
    Perigee 878.727 km 1171.565 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-10-22T21:52:56+0000 2026-10-23T06:29:25+0000

    THOR ABLESTAR DEB & YAOGAN 15 Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    THOR ABLESTAR DEB & YAOGAN 15 Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    THOR ABLESTAR DEB & YAOGAN 15 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    THOR ABLESTAR DEB & YAOGAN 15 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    THOR ABLESTAR DEBMiss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    YAOGAN 15Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    THOR ABLESTAR DEBCollision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    YAOGAN 15Collision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with THOR ABLESTAR DEB

    No nearby objects data