Conjunction Event Detail

    ✅
    Very Low Risk
    Very low collision probability. Continue monitoring.
    8.990257E-7
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-10-23T19:51:47+0800
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    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 36048
    NORAD ID 36048
    Object Type DEBRIS
    Country
    CIS CIS
    ← VS →

    2 Object 2

    AOE ID 41922
    NORAD ID 41922
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    US US

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter COSMOS 2251 DEB IRIDIUM 104
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-10-23T15:21:07+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 8.990257E-7
    Conjunction Distance (km) 2.718 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 5.833 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): -2.578 | I (In-track): 0.791 | C (Cross-track): -0.333
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.34
    X Position (km) 2135.405 2135.758
    Position Y (km) 963.339 962.972
    Position Z (km) -6767.972 -6770.641
    Velocity X (km/s) 0.9 5.709
    Velocity Y (km/s) 7.269 4.144
    Velocity Z (km/s) 1.334 2.392

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter COSMOS 2251 DEB IRIDIUM 104
    Semimajor Axis (a) 7142.472 km 7155.804 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.002581 0.000203
    Inclination (i) 74.0552° 86.4002°
    RAAN 80.9194° 35.0956°
    Perigee Argument 54.6640° 88.2893°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 62.0058° 271.8535°
    Apogee 782.772 km 779.122 km
    Perigee 745.898 km 776.212 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-10-23T02:54:18+0000 2026-10-22T19:35:26+0000

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & IRIDIUM 104 Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & IRIDIUM 104 Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & IRIDIUM 104 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & IRIDIUM 104 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEBMiss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    IRIDIUM 104Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEBCollision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    IRIDIUM 104Collision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with COSMOS 2251 DEB

    No nearby objects data