Conjunction Event Detail

    ✅
    Low Risk
    Low collision probability. Continue monitoring.
    2.164523E-6
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-10-21T18:26:38+0800
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    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 9951
    NORAD ID 9951
    Object Type DEBRIS
    Country
    CIS CIS
    ← VS →

    2 Object 2

    AOE ID 66782
    NORAD ID 66782
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    US US

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter COSMOS 886 DEB LEMUR-2-FINNIAN
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-10-23T12:20:08+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 2.164523E-6
    Conjunction Distance (km) 2.263 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 15.122 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): -1.11 | I (In-track): -0.389 | C (Cross-track): 1.933
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.42
    X Position (km) -5065.548 -5064.576
    Position Y (km) -925.408 -923.374
    Position Z (km) 4652.993 4652.799
    Velocity X (km/s) 5.02 -5.172
    Velocity Y (km/s) -3.495 0.415
    Velocity Z (km/s) 4.94 -5.525

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter COSMOS 886 DEB LEMUR-2-FINNIAN
    Semimajor Axis (a) 7515.045 km 6941.026 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.077448 0.000772
    Inclination (i) 65.8202° 97.5129°
    RAAN 172.7024° 0.9432°
    Perigee Argument 36.2212° 39.4976°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 328.8793° 320.6810°
    Apogee 1718.931 km 568.251 km
    Perigee 554.885 km 557.527 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-10-20T19:17:33+0000 2026-10-20T21:20:31+0000

    COSMOS 886 DEB & LEMUR-2-FINNIAN Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    COSMOS 886 DEB & LEMUR-2-FINNIAN Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 886 DEB & LEMUR-2-FINNIAN Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    COSMOS 886 DEB & LEMUR-2-FINNIAN Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 886 DEBMiss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    LEMUR-2-FINNIANMiss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 886 DEBCollision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    LEMUR-2-FINNIANCollision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with COSMOS 886 DEB

    No nearby objects data