Conjunction Event Detail

    ✅
    Low Risk
    Low collision probability. Continue monitoring.
    3.604173E-6
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-10-21T10:14:27+0800
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    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 38863
    NORAD ID 38863
    Object Type DEBRIS
    Country
    CN CN
    ← VS →

    2 Object 2

    AOE ID 63773
    NORAD ID 63773
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    US US

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter CZ-2C DEB STARLINK-33769
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-10-23T05:13:01+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 3.604173E-6
    Conjunction Distance (km) 1.821 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 14.289 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): 0.057 | I (In-track): -0.648 | C (Cross-track): -1.7
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.46
    X Position (km) 6645.227 6644.831
    Position Y (km) 598.459 600.038
    Position Z (km) 1591.587 1592.402
    Velocity X (km/s) -1.661 0.651
    Velocity Y (km/s) -1.181 5.815
    Velocity Z (km/s) 7.35 -4.892

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter CZ-2C DEB STARLINK-33769
    Semimajor Axis (a) 6862.252 km 6861.149 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.000705 0.000309
    Inclination (i) 97.5338° 43.0033°
    RAAN 4.1745° 217.1566°
    Perigee Argument 346.6544° 245.4415°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 13.4507° 114.6115°
    Apogee 488.951 km 485.135 km
    Perigee 479.279 km 480.889 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-10-20T11:06:56+0000 2026-10-20T04:20:11+0000

    CZ-2C DEB & STARLINK-33769 Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    CZ-2C DEB & STARLINK-33769 Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    CZ-2C DEB & STARLINK-33769 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    CZ-2C DEB & STARLINK-33769 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    CZ-2C DEBMiss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-33769Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    CZ-2C DEBCollision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-33769Collision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with CZ-2C DEB

    No nearby objects data