Conjunction Event Detail

    ⚠
    Medium Risk
    Monitor closely. Maneuver recommended for primary asset.
    1.441197E-5
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-10-21T16:03:59+0800
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    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 38212
    NORAD ID 38212
    Object Type DEBRIS
    Country
    CIS CIS
    ← VS →

    2 Object 2

    Name VERTECS
    AOE ID 69506
    NORAD ID 69506
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    JP JP

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter COSMOS 2251 DEB VERTECS
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-10-23T04:48:33+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 1.441197E-5
    Conjunction Distance (km) 1.205 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 15.143 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): 0.033 | I (In-track): -0.086 | C (Cross-track): 1.202
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.58
    X Position (km) 6915.007 6915.003
    Position Y (km) -294.698 -293.518
    Position Z (km) 621.945 622.187
    Velocity X (km/s) 0.765 -0.715
    Velocity Y (km/s) 2.068 -0.983
    Velocity Z (km/s) -7.283 7.474

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter COSMOS 2251 DEB VERTECS
    Semimajor Axis (a) 7010.052 km 6940.717 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.009138 0.001337
    Inclination (i) 74.0501° 97.6582°
    RAAN 185.0768° 355.5012°
    Perigee Argument 169.9716° 243.3945°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 190.3313° 116.5910°
    Apogee 695.973 km 571.859 km
    Perigee 567.857 km 553.301 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-10-20T02:58:51+0000 2026-10-20T09:36:27+0000

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & VERTECS Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & VERTECS Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & VERTECS Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & VERTECS Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEBMiss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    VERTECSMiss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEBCollision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    VERTECSCollision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with COSMOS 2251 DEB

    No nearby objects data