Conjunction Event Detail

    ⚠
    Medium Risk
    Monitor closely. Maneuver recommended for primary asset.
    1.066522E-5
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-10-22T17:52:56+0800
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    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 34129
    NORAD ID 34129
    Object Type DEBRIS
    Country
    CIS CIS
    ← VS →

    2 Object 2

    AOE ID 65128
    NORAD ID 65128
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    CN CN

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter COSMOS 2251 DEB GEESAT 4-10
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-10-22T20:55:12+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 1.066522E-5
    Conjunction Distance (km) 1.28 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 13.302 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): 0.936 | I (In-track): -0.401 | C (Cross-track): 0.775
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.56
    X Position (km) 1117.378 1118.369
    Position Y (km) 6894.027 6894.795
    Position Z (km) -603.678 -603.93
    Velocity X (km/s) -1.96 -4.877
    Velocity Y (km/s) 0.918 0.309
    Velocity Z (km/s) 7.225 -5.739

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter COSMOS 2251 DEB GEESAT 4-10
    Semimajor Axis (a) 7006.465 km 6999.557 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.003217 0.002458
    Inclination (i) 74.0300° 49.9779°
    RAAN 84.3409° 260.8380°
    Perigee Argument 88.4498° 56.1364°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 272.0363° 304.1908°
    Apogee 650.870 km 638.623 km
    Perigee 605.786 km 604.217 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-10-21T18:59:32+0000 2026-10-21T23:03:18+0000

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & GEESAT 4-10 Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & GEESAT 4-10 Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & GEESAT 4-10 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & GEESAT 4-10 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEBMiss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    GEESAT 4-10Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEBCollision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    GEESAT 4-10Collision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with COSMOS 2251 DEB

    No nearby objects data