Conjunction Event Detail

    ✅
    Low Risk
    Low collision probability. Continue monitoring.
    5.33317E-6
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-10-21T23:39:31+0800
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    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 3938
    NORAD ID 3938
    Object Type DEBRIS
    Country
    CIS CIS
    ← VS →

    2 Object 2

    AOE ID 52788
    NORAD ID 52788
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    CN CN

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter COSMOS 252 DEB * GEESAT 1-04
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-10-22T19:54:29+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 5.33317E-6
    Conjunction Distance (km) 1.508 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 10.832 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): 0.425 | I (In-track): 1.02 | C (Cross-track): -1.026
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.5
    X Position (km) -5241.753 -5241.817
    Position Y (km) -1505.44 -1506.944
    Position Z (km) -4389.117 -4389.203
    Velocity X (km/s) -2.483 4.291
    Velocity Y (km/s) -5.515 -5.244
    Velocity Z (km/s) 5.127 -3.319

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter COSMOS 252 DEB * GEESAT 1-04
    Semimajor Axis (a) 7815.521 km 7002.098 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.107004 0.000986
    Inclination (i) 63.0287° 50.0058°
    RAAN 224.5014° 340.9115°
    Perigee Argument 327.7323° 270.1973°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 87.0015° 89.7835°
    Apogee 2273.676 km 630.863 km
    Perigee 601.092 km 617.059 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-10-20T22:34:55+0000 2026-10-21T05:37:26+0000

    COSMOS 252 DEB * & GEESAT 1-04 Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    COSMOS 252 DEB * & GEESAT 1-04 Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 252 DEB * & GEESAT 1-04 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    COSMOS 252 DEB * & GEESAT 1-04 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 252 DEB *Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    GEESAT 1-04Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 252 DEB *Collision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    GEESAT 1-04Collision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with COSMOS 252 DEB *

    No nearby objects data