Conjunction Event Detail

    ⚠
    Medium Risk
    Monitor closely. Maneuver recommended for primary asset.
    1.35541E-5
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-10-22T21:44:02+0800
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    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 24841
    NORAD ID 24841
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    US US
    ← VS →

    2 Object 2

    AOE ID 33892
    NORAD ID 33892
    Object Type DEBRIS
    Country
    CIS CIS

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter IRIDIUM 16 COSMOS 2251 DEB
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-10-22T15:41:23+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 1.35541E-5
    Conjunction Distance (km) 1.171 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 12.049 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): -0.719 | I (In-track): -0.544 | C (Cross-track): 0.746
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.58
    X Position (km) -2249.446 -2249.175
    Position Y (km) -358.059 -358.863
    Position Z (km) -6774.178 -6774.985
    Velocity X (km/s) 7.076 -2.368
    Velocity Y (km/s) -0.36 -7.016
    Velocity Z (km/s) -2.332 1.084

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter IRIDIUM 16 COSMOS 2251 DEB
    Semimajor Axis (a) 7139.557 km 7189.542 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.000091 0.011523
    Inclination (i) 86.4072° 73.8009°
    RAAN 358.4705° 250.2846°
    Perigee Argument 169.8297° 226.3522°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 190.2920° 164.3998°
    Apogee 762.068 km 894.248 km
    Perigee 760.772 km 728.562 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-10-22T04:30:40+0000 2026-10-21T21:40:20+0000

    IRIDIUM 16 & COSMOS 2251 DEB Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    IRIDIUM 16 & COSMOS 2251 DEB Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    IRIDIUM 16 & COSMOS 2251 DEB Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    IRIDIUM 16 & COSMOS 2251 DEB Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    IRIDIUM 16Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEBMiss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    IRIDIUM 16Collision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEBCollision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with IRIDIUM 16

    No nearby objects data