Conjunction Event Detail

    ⚠
    High Risk
    High collision probability. Maneuver recommended for primary asset.
    1.16756E-4
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-10-21T10:16:18+0800
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    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 38863
    NORAD ID 38863
    Object Type DEBRIS
    Country
    CN CN
    ← VS →

    2 Object 2

    AOE ID 63807
    NORAD ID 63807
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    US US

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter CZ-2C DEB STARLINK-34109
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-10-22T11:58:29+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 1.16756E-4
    Conjunction Distance (km) 0.54 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 7.931 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): 0.505 | I (In-track): 0.165 | C (Cross-track): 0.098
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.76
    X Position (km) 6171.251 6170.876
    Position Y (km) 277.143 277.05
    Position Z (km) 2978.421 2978.044
    Velocity X (km/s) -3.23 -2.215
    Velocity Y (km/s) -1.256 6.099
    Velocity Z (km/s) 6.795 4.009

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter CZ-2C DEB STARLINK-34109
    Semimajor Axis (a) 6862.252 km 6861.174 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.000705 0.000124
    Inclination (i) 97.5338° 43.0013°
    RAAN 4.1745° 344.3875°
    Perigee Argument 346.6544° 252.8146°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 13.4507° 107.2570°
    Apogee 488.951 km 483.886 km
    Perigee 479.279 km 482.188 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-10-20T11:06:56+0000 2026-10-20T04:52:45+0000

    CZ-2C DEB & STARLINK-34109 Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    CZ-2C DEB & STARLINK-34109 Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    CZ-2C DEB & STARLINK-34109 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    CZ-2C DEB & STARLINK-34109 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    CZ-2C DEBMiss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-34109Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    CZ-2C DEBCollision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-34109Collision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with CZ-2C DEB

    No nearby objects data