Conjunction Event Detail

    ⚠
    Medium Risk
    Monitor closely. Maneuver recommended for primary asset.
    1.885919E-5
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-10-20T22:59:13+0800
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    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 19210
    NORAD ID 19210
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    CIS CIS
    ← VS →

    2 Object 2

    AOE ID 65236
    NORAD ID 65236
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    US US

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter COSMOS 1953 STARLINK-34938
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-10-22T10:29:30+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 1.885919E-5
    Conjunction Distance (km) 0.927 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 6.087 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): 0.9 | I (In-track): -0.204 | C (Cross-track): -0.084
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.61
    X Position (km) 1484.443 1484.776
    Position Y (km) -1633.779 -1634.152
    Position Z (km) 6468.826 6469.606
    Velocity X (km/s) -2.162 -6.689
    Velocity Y (km/s) 6.97 2.901
    Velocity Z (km/s) 2.256 2.263

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter COSMOS 1953 STARLINK-34938
    Semimajor Axis (a) 6849.549 km 6843.647 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.001193 0.000082
    Inclination (i) 82.5043° 97.2866°
    RAAN 292.0851° 331.9488°
    Perigee Argument 57.8657° 93.7035°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 302.3739° 266.4301°
    Apogee 479.581 km 466.070 km
    Perigee 463.243 km 464.950 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-10-19T22:35:18+0000 2026-10-20T01:47:54+0000

    COSMOS 1953 & STARLINK-34938 Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    COSMOS 1953 & STARLINK-34938 Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1953 & STARLINK-34938 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    COSMOS 1953 & STARLINK-34938 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1953Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-34938Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1953Collision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-34938Collision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with COSMOS 1953

    No nearby objects data