Conjunction Event Detail

    ✅
    Low Risk
    Low collision probability. Continue monitoring.
    2.004412E-6
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-10-21T09:44:53+0800
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    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 40794
    NORAD ID 40794
    Object Type DEBRIS
    Country
    CIS CIS
    ← VS →

    2 Object 2

    Name BRO-16
    AOE ID 62654
    NORAD ID 62654
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    FR FR

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter COSMOS 2251 DEB BRO-16
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-10-22T10:21:41+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 2.004412E-6
    Conjunction Distance (km) 2.352 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 15.192 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): 1.015 | I (In-track): 0.18 | C (Cross-track): -2.113
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.41
    X Position (km) 6405.984 6405.605
    Position Y (km) 1361.828 1359.632
    Position Z (km) 2081.593 2080.845
    Velocity X (km/s) 1.705 -2.033
    Velocity Y (km/s) 2.619 -1.483
    Velocity Z (km/s) -6.951 7.191

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter COSMOS 2251 DEB BRO-16
    Semimajor Axis (a) 6878.404 km 6869.737 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.001084 0.000150
    Inclination (i) 73.9665° 97.3973°
    RAAN 204.3787° 12.1428°
    Perigee Argument 217.7095° 161.7345°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 156.2071° 198.3947°
    Apogee 507.724 km 492.633 km
    Perigee 492.810 km 490.567 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-10-19T01:15:55+0000 2026-10-20T04:43:55+0000

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & BRO-16 Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & BRO-16 Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & BRO-16 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & BRO-16 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEBMiss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    BRO-16Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEBCollision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    BRO-16Collision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with COSMOS 2251 DEB

    No nearby objects data