Conjunction Event Detail

    ⚠
    Medium Risk
    Monitor closely. Maneuver recommended for primary asset.
    7.576509E-5
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-10-20T09:22:09+0800
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    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 19210
    NORAD ID 19210
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    CIS CIS
    ← VS →

    2 Object 2

    AOE ID 53476
    NORAD ID 53476
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    US US

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter COSMOS 1953 STARLINK-4378
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-10-22T05:50:40+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 7.576509E-5
    Conjunction Distance (km) 0.711 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 13.181 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): 0.073 | I (In-track): 0.363 | C (Cross-track): -0.606
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.73
    X Position (km) 1005.69 1006.367
    Position Y (km) -167.276 -167.399
    Position Z (km) 6758.944 6758.767
    Velocity X (km/s) -2.506 -4.983
    Velocity Y (km/s) 7.193 -5.752
    Velocity Z (km/s) 0.555 0.598

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter COSMOS 1953 STARLINK-4378
    Semimajor Axis (a) 6849.557 km 6843.665 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.001194 0.000142
    Inclination (i) 82.5043° 97.2868°
    RAAN 292.2832° 45.6107°
    Perigee Argument 58.4923° 90.1232°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 301.7483° 270.0173°
    Apogee 479.598 km 466.498 km
    Perigee 463.242 km 464.558 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-10-19T17:53:02+0000 2026-10-19T06:59:52+0000

    COSMOS 1953 & STARLINK-4378 Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    COSMOS 1953 & STARLINK-4378 Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1953 & STARLINK-4378 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    COSMOS 1953 & STARLINK-4378 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1953Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-4378Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1953Collision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-4378Collision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with COSMOS 1953

    No nearby objects data