Conjunction Event Detail

    ✅
    Low Risk
    Low collision probability. Continue monitoring.
    1.512624E-6
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-10-20T05:43:46+0800
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    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 38863
    NORAD ID 38863
    Object Type DEBRIS
    Country
    CN CN
    ← VS →

    2 Object 2

    AOE ID 59622
    NORAD ID 59622
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    US US

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter CZ-2C DEB STARLINK-31774
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-10-22T02:28:23+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 1.512624E-6
    Conjunction Distance (km) 2.703 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 14.317 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): -0.438 | I (In-track): 0.932 | C (Cross-track): 2.499
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.39
    X Position (km) 6723.827 6724.663
    Position Y (km) 519.741 517.434
    Position Z (km) 1253.977 1252.842
    Velocity X (km/s) -1.306 0.499
    Velocity Y (km/s) -1.121 5.727
    Velocity Z (km/s) 7.431 -5.012

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter CZ-2C DEB STARLINK-31774
    Semimajor Axis (a) 6862.332 km 6861.195 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.000710 0.000119
    Inclination (i) 97.5336° 43.0005°
    RAAN 3.1824° 212.6911°
    Perigee Argument 350.1690° 267.1730°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 9.9409° 92.8985°
    Apogee 489.071 km 483.875 km
    Perigee 479.319 km 482.241 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-10-19T11:31:41+0000 2026-10-19T03:08:23+0000

    CZ-2C DEB & STARLINK-31774 Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    CZ-2C DEB & STARLINK-31774 Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    CZ-2C DEB & STARLINK-31774 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    CZ-2C DEB & STARLINK-31774 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    CZ-2C DEBMiss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-31774Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    CZ-2C DEBCollision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-31774Collision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with CZ-2C DEB

    No nearby objects data