Conjunction Event Detail

    ✅
    Very Low Risk
    Very low collision probability. Continue monitoring.
    8.431576E-7
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-10-20T09:18:28+0800
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    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 43264
    NORAD ID 43264
    Object Type ROCKET BODY
    Country
    CN CN
    ← VS →

    2 Object 2

    AOE ID 53163
    NORAD ID 53163
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    US US

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter CZ-4C R/B STARLINK-4104
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-10-22T01:23:59+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 8.431576E-7
    Conjunction Distance (km) 2.888 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 5.988 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): -2.887 | I (In-track): 0.034 | C (Cross-track): 0.04
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.34
    X Position (km) -4707.917 -4709.905
    Position Y (km) -4749.513 -4751.533
    Position Z (km) 1422.546 1423.097
    Velocity X (km/s) 0.3 4.214
    Velocity Y (km/s) 1.874 -2.397
    Velocity Z (km/s) 7.416 5.902

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter CZ-4C R/B STARLINK-4104
    Semimajor Axis (a) 6867.131 km 6840.845 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.007378 0.000123
    Inclination (i) 98.1311° 53.1576°
    RAAN 224.4982° 229.4901°
    Perigee Argument 328.0087° 95.4590°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 31.6680° 264.6553°
    Apogee 539.660 km 463.548 km
    Perigee 438.328 km 461.868 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-10-19T18:15:12+0000 2026-10-19T04:33:06+0000

    CZ-4C R/B & STARLINK-4104 Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    CZ-4C R/B & STARLINK-4104 Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    CZ-4C R/B & STARLINK-4104 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    CZ-4C R/B & STARLINK-4104 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    CZ-4C R/BMiss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-4104Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    CZ-4C R/BCollision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-4104Collision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with CZ-4C R/B

    No nearby objects data