Conjunction Event Detail

    ✅
    Low Risk
    Low collision probability. Continue monitoring.
    2.725092E-6
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-10-20T00:04:25+0800
    View CDM
    Download CDM 1.0

    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 19210
    NORAD ID 19210
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    CIS CIS
    ← VS →

    2 Object 2

    AOE ID 53063
    NORAD ID 53063
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    US US

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter COSMOS 1953 STARLINK-4307
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-10-22T01:00:20+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 2.725092E-6
    Conjunction Distance (km) 2.055 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 15.275 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): 1.819 | I (In-track): 0.012 | C (Cross-track): -0.956
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.44
    X Position (km) 2030.743 2032.172
    Position Y (km) -3455.181 -3455.767
    Position Z (km) 5538.178 5539.533
    Velocity X (km/s) -1.594 1.64
    Velocity Y (km/s) 6.067 -6.047
    Velocity Z (km/s) 4.361 -4.363

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter COSMOS 1953 STARLINK-4307
    Semimajor Axis (a) 6849.585 km 6843.709 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.001199 0.000130
    Inclination (i) 82.5043° 97.2855°
    RAAN 292.9438° 107.0370°
    Perigee Argument 60.4040° 92.4907°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 299.8394° 267.6484°
    Apogee 479.660 km 466.459 km
    Perigee 463.236 km 464.685 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-10-19T02:12:10+0000 2026-10-18T18:09:19+0000

    COSMOS 1953 & STARLINK-4307 Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    COSMOS 1953 & STARLINK-4307 Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1953 & STARLINK-4307 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    COSMOS 1953 & STARLINK-4307 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1953Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-4307Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1953Collision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-4307Collision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with COSMOS 1953

    No nearby objects data