Conjunction Event Detail

    ✅
    Very Low Risk
    Very low collision probability. Continue monitoring.
    7.978966E-7
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-10-20T23:53:06+0800
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    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 44612
    NORAD ID 44612
    Object Type DEBRIS
    Country
    CN CN
    ← VS →

    2 Object 2

    Name AE1A
    AOE ID 68487
    NORAD ID 68487
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    JP JP

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter CZ-2D DEB AE1A
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-10-21T23:50:57+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 7.978966E-7
    Conjunction Distance (km) 2.915 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 5.518 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): 2.154 | I (In-track): 1.829 | C (Cross-track): 0.714
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.33
    X Position (km) 1001.562 1001.985
    Position Y (km) 28.329 26.378
    Position Z (km) -6898.976 -6901.099
    Velocity X (km/s) 3.116 -2.335
    Velocity Y (km/s) -6.862 -7.17
    Velocity Z (km/s) 0.431 -0.368

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter CZ-2D DEB AE1A
    Semimajor Axis (a) 6959.654 km 6965.287 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.001118 0.000193
    Inclination (i) 97.5958° 97.7703°
    RAAN 292.8702° 249.7460°
    Perigee Argument 44.5365° 140.7382°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 315.6753° 219.3978°
    Apogee 589.298 km 588.493 km
    Perigee 573.736 km 585.807 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-10-19T22:26:58+0000 2026-10-20T03:14:27+0000

    CZ-2D DEB & AE1A Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    CZ-2D DEB & AE1A Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    CZ-2D DEB & AE1A Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    CZ-2D DEB & AE1A Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    CZ-2D DEBMiss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    AE1AMiss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    CZ-2D DEBCollision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    AE1ACollision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with CZ-2D DEB

    No nearby objects data