Conjunction Event Detail

    ⚠
    Medium Risk
    Monitor closely. Maneuver recommended for primary asset.
    1.465332E-5
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-10-22T01:57:22+0800
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    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 19210
    NORAD ID 19210
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    CIS CIS
    ← VS →

    2 Object 2

    AOE ID 53046
    NORAD ID 53046
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    US US

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter COSMOS 1953 STARLINK-4331
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-10-21T21:42:30+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 1.465332E-5
    Conjunction Distance (km) 1.201 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 15.273 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): 0.676 | I (In-track): 0.002 | C (Cross-track): 0.994
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.58
    X Position (km) 2495.435 2494.757
    Position Y (km) -6030.796 -6031.729
    Position Z (km) 2057.298 2057.632
    Velocity X (km/s) 0.09 -0.064
    Velocity Y (km/s) 2.514 -2.5
    Velocity Z (km/s) 7.212 -7.213

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter COSMOS 1953 STARLINK-4331
    Semimajor Axis (a) 6849.500 km 6843.710 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.001184 0.000164
    Inclination (i) 82.5042° 97.2849°
    RAAN 290.9622° 109.3583°
    Perigee Argument 54.3397° 93.2141°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 305.8945° 266.9290°
    Apogee 479.474 km 466.698 km
    Perigee 463.252 km 464.448 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-10-21T01:14:47+0000 2026-10-21T02:12:35+0000

    COSMOS 1953 & STARLINK-4331 Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    COSMOS 1953 & STARLINK-4331 Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1953 & STARLINK-4331 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    COSMOS 1953 & STARLINK-4331 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1953Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-4331Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1953Collision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-4331Collision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with COSMOS 1953

    No nearby objects data