Conjunction Event Detail

    ✅
    Low Risk
    Low collision probability. Continue monitoring.
    1.689596E-6
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-10-20T00:02:16+0800
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    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 18214
    NORAD ID 18214
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    CIS CIS
    ← VS →

    2 Object 2

    AOE ID 48643
    NORAD ID 48643
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    US US

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter COSMOS 1869 STARLINK-2704
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-10-21T20:16:18+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 1.689596E-6
    Conjunction Distance (km) 2.513 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 14.094 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): 0.542 | I (In-track): -0.937 | C (Cross-track): -2.267
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.4
    X Position (km) -5797.169 -5796.329
    Position Y (km) 3376.417 3378.673
    Position Z (km) 1319.897 1320.617
    Velocity X (km/s) -1.777 -1.334
    Velocity Y (km/s) -0.137 -4.624
    Velocity Z (km/s) -7.421 5.932

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter COSMOS 1869 STARLINK-2704
    Semimajor Axis (a) 6825.838 km 6845.487 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.001527 0.000124
    Inclination (i) 82.5103° 53.1575°
    RAAN 334.0883° 153.7707°
    Perigee Argument 344.9083° 106.1066°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 15.1705° 254.0073°
    Apogee 458.123 km 468.199 km
    Perigee 437.279 km 466.501 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-10-19T02:01:20+0000 2026-10-19T04:06:06+0000

    COSMOS 1869 & STARLINK-2704 Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    COSMOS 1869 & STARLINK-2704 Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1869 & STARLINK-2704 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    COSMOS 1869 & STARLINK-2704 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1869Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-2704Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1869Collision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-2704Collision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with COSMOS 1869

    No nearby objects data