Conjunction Event Detail

    ✅
    Low Risk
    Low collision probability. Continue monitoring.
    7.73977E-6
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-10-20T04:17:34+0800
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    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 54109
    NORAD ID 54109
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    CIS CIS
    ← VS →

    2 Object 2

    AOE ID 57200
    NORAD ID 57200
    Object Type UNKNOWN
    Country
    TBD TBD

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter COSMOS 2561 OBJECT AL
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-10-21T15:34:36+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 7.73977E-6
    Conjunction Distance (km) 1.063 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 3.28 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): -0.484 | I (In-track): 0.925 | C (Cross-track): 0.202
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.53
    X Position (km) 186.642 185.683
    Position Y (km) -865.335 -865.3
    Position Z (km) 6720.72 6720.262
    Velocity X (km/s) -7.522 -7.439
    Velocity Y (km/s) 1.406 -1.845
    Velocity Z (km/s) 0.39 -0.03

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter COSMOS 2561 OBJECT AL
    Semimajor Axis (a) 6781.475 km 6784.787 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.000743 0.000304
    Inclination (i) 96.9025° 97.4930°
    RAAN 346.6843° 11.4515°
    Perigee Argument 286.4568° 321.0600°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 73.5871° 39.0434°
    Apogee 408.374 km 408.710 km
    Perigee 398.302 km 404.590 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-10-19T04:30:03+0000 2026-10-19T05:59:35+0000

    COSMOS 2561 & OBJECT AL Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    COSMOS 2561 & OBJECT AL Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2561 & OBJECT AL Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    COSMOS 2561 & OBJECT AL Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2561Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    OBJECT ALMiss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2561Collision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    OBJECT ALCollision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with COSMOS 2561

    No nearby objects data