Conjunction Event Detail

    ✅
    Low Risk
    Low collision probability. Continue monitoring.
    3.478203E-6
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-10-19T21:53:46+0800
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    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 18214
    NORAD ID 18214
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    CIS CIS
    ← VS →

    2 Object 2

    AOE ID 64442
    NORAD ID 64442
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    US US

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter COSMOS 1869 STARLINK-34404
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-10-21T13:55:37+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 3.478203E-6
    Conjunction Distance (km) 1.819 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 13.471 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): -1.319 | I (In-track): -0.602 | C (Cross-track): 1.098
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.46
    X Position (km) -4652.097 -4653.844
    Position Y (km) 3109.197 3108.934
    Position Z (km) 3923.006 3923.442
    Velocity X (km/s) -4.28 -0.618
    Velocity Y (km/s) 1.399 -6.315
    Velocity Z (km/s) -6.163 4.255

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter COSMOS 1869 STARLINK-34404
    Semimajor Axis (a) 6825.838 km 6840.785 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.001527 0.000263
    Inclination (i) 82.5103° 53.1584°
    RAAN 334.0883° 127.3798°
    Perigee Argument 344.9083° 94.5090°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 15.1705° 265.6213°
    Apogee 458.123 km 464.448 km
    Perigee 437.279 km 460.848 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-10-19T02:01:20+0000 2026-10-18T20:04:30+0000

    COSMOS 1869 & STARLINK-34404 Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    COSMOS 1869 & STARLINK-34404 Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1869 & STARLINK-34404 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    COSMOS 1869 & STARLINK-34404 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1869Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-34404Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1869Collision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-34404Collision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with COSMOS 1869

    No nearby objects data