Conjunction Event Detail

    ⚠
    Medium Risk
    Monitor closely. Maneuver recommended for primary asset.
    2.100716E-5
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-10-19T18:15:38+0800
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    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 19210
    NORAD ID 19210
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    CIS CIS
    ← VS →

    2 Object 2

    AOE ID 53065
    NORAD ID 53065
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    US US

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter COSMOS 1953 STARLINK-4312
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-10-21T12:38:46+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 2.100716E-5
    Conjunction Distance (km) 1.084 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 15.27 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): 1.078 | I (In-track): 0.015 | C (Cross-track): -0.107
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.61
    X Position (km) 516.378 516.393
    Position Y (km) 1146.165 1146.032
    Position Z (km) 6719.803 6718.728
    Velocity X (km/s) -2.77 2.572
    Velocity Y (km/s) 7.048 -7.116
    Velocity Z (km/s) -0.981 1.014

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter COSMOS 1953 STARLINK-4312
    Semimajor Axis (a) 6849.585 km 6843.713 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.001199 0.000153
    Inclination (i) 82.5043° 97.2855°
    RAAN 292.9438° 106.1709°
    Perigee Argument 60.4040° 92.9289°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 299.8394° 267.2129°
    Apogee 479.660 km 466.626 km
    Perigee 463.236 km 464.526 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-10-19T02:12:10+0000 2026-10-18T18:30:41+0000

    COSMOS 1953 & STARLINK-4312 Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    COSMOS 1953 & STARLINK-4312 Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1953 & STARLINK-4312 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    COSMOS 1953 & STARLINK-4312 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1953Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-4312Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1953Collision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-4312Collision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with COSMOS 1953

    No nearby objects data