Conjunction Event Detail

    ✅
    Low Risk
    Low collision probability. Continue monitoring.
    1.59393E-6
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-10-20T05:28:33+0800
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    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 37770
    NORAD ID 37770
    Object Type DEBRIS
    Country
    CN CN
    ← VS →

    2 Object 2

    AOE ID 59891
    NORAD ID 59891
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    US US

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter CZ-2C DEB STARLINK-31949
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-10-21T11:58:16+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 1.59393E-6
    Conjunction Distance (km) 2.261 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 9.085 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): 2.249 | I (In-track): 0.186 | C (Cross-track): 0.128
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.39
    X Position (km) -2722.821 -2721.97
    Position Y (km) -4908.387 -4906.627
    Position Z (km) -3953.845 -3952.712
    Velocity X (km/s) -3.225 5.011
    Velocity Y (km/s) -3.165 -5.02
    Velocity Z (km/s) 6.139 2.783

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter CZ-2C DEB STARLINK-31949
    Semimajor Axis (a) 6871.986 km 6861.205 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.002118 0.000105
    Inclination (i) 97.9226° 43.0031°
    RAAN 233.0308° 303.6917°
    Perigee Argument 297.4318° 264.8868°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 216.8959° 95.1863°
    Apogee 508.404 km 483.790 km
    Perigee 479.294 km 482.346 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-10-19T07:13:40+0000 2026-10-19T02:09:34+0000

    CZ-2C DEB & STARLINK-31949 Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    CZ-2C DEB & STARLINK-31949 Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    CZ-2C DEB & STARLINK-31949 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    CZ-2C DEB & STARLINK-31949 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    CZ-2C DEBMiss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-31949Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    CZ-2C DEBCollision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-31949Collision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with CZ-2C DEB

    No nearby objects data