Conjunction Event Detail

    ✅
    Low Risk
    Low collision probability. Continue monitoring.
    1.195382E-6
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-10-20T02:38:40+0800
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    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 48454
    NORAD ID 48454
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    US US
    ← VS →

    2 Object 2

    AOE ID 62078
    NORAD ID 62078
    Object Type ROCKET BODY
    Country
    CN CN

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter STARLINK-2654 CZ-2C R/B
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-10-21T09:28:00+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 1.195382E-6
    Conjunction Distance (km) 2.996 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 12.09 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): 2.53 | I (In-track): -0.975 | C (Cross-track): 1.275
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.37
    X Position (km) -2092.3 -2092.69
    Position Y (km) 3543.673 3546.352
    Position Z (km) -5482.201 -5483.483
    Velocity X (km/s) -6.681 4.466
    Velocity Y (km/s) -3.656 -4.291
    Velocity Z (km/s) 0.187 -4.45

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter STARLINK-2654 CZ-2C R/B
    Semimajor Axis (a) 6848.809 km 6867.478 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.000215 0.004119
    Inclination (i) 53.1611° 97.5320°
    RAAN 217.8954° 308.5370°
    Perigee Argument 83.9704° 294.4886°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 276.1543° 65.2059°
    Apogee 472.147 km 517.631 km
    Perigee 469.197 km 461.051 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-10-19T04:36:31+0000 2026-10-19T06:03:55+0000

    STARLINK-2654 & CZ-2C R/B Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    STARLINK-2654 & CZ-2C R/B Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-2654 & CZ-2C R/B Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    STARLINK-2654 & CZ-2C R/B Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-2654Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    CZ-2C R/BMiss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-2654Collision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    CZ-2C R/BCollision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with STARLINK-2654

    No nearby objects data