Conjunction Event Detail

    ⚠
    Medium Risk
    Monitor closely. Maneuver recommended for primary asset.
    3.94658E-5
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-10-20T21:04:37+0800
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    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 54576
    NORAD ID 54576
    Object Type DEBRIS
    Country
    CN CN
    ← VS →

    2 Object 2

    AOE ID 69912
    NORAD ID 69912
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    CA CA

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter CZ-6A DEB MARMOTSAT
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-10-21T06:40:50+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 3.94658E-5
    Conjunction Distance (km) 0.898 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 14.938 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): 0.796 | I (In-track): 0.067 | C (Cross-track): 0.41
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.67
    X Position (km) 6229.291 6230.116
    Position Y (km) 1776.761 1776.565
    Position Z (km) 2572.861 2573.154
    Velocity X (km/s) -2.315 2.968
    Velocity Y (km/s) -1.926 -0.294
    Velocity Z (km/s) 6.924 -6.952

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter CZ-6A DEB MARMOTSAT
    Semimajor Axis (a) 6945.370 km 6972.861 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.003722 0.000335
    Inclination (i) 98.6211° 97.7452°
    RAAN 17.5977° 191.7346°
    Perigee Argument 219.3478° 127.3178°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 140.5037° 232.8346°
    Apogee 593.087 km 597.061 km
    Perigee 541.379 km 592.387 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-10-19T16:09:30+0000 2026-10-20T04:12:17+0000

    CZ-6A DEB & MARMOTSAT Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    CZ-6A DEB & MARMOTSAT Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    CZ-6A DEB & MARMOTSAT Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    CZ-6A DEB & MARMOTSAT Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    CZ-6A DEBMiss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    MARMOTSATMiss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    CZ-6A DEBCollision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    MARMOTSATCollision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with CZ-6A DEB

    No nearby objects data