Conjunction Event Detail

    ⚠
    High Risk
    High collision probability. Maneuver recommended for primary asset.
    2.102587E-4
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-10-21T08:42:40+0800
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    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 38863
    NORAD ID 38863
    Object Type DEBRIS
    Country
    CN CN
    ← VS →

    2 Object 2

    AOE ID 59790
    NORAD ID 59790
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    US US

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter CZ-2C DEB STARLINK-31873
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-10-21T05:56:56+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 2.102587E-4
    Conjunction Distance (km) 0.407 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 7.068 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): -0.126 | I (In-track): 0.347 | C (Cross-track): 0.174
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.81
    X Position (km) 6753.975 6754.062
    Position Y (km) 716.464 716.333
    Position Z (km) -974.954 -975.329
    Velocity X (km/s) 1.168 0.129
    Velocity Y (km/s) -0.891 5.677
    Velocity Z (km/s) 7.483 5.089

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter CZ-2C DEB STARLINK-31873
    Semimajor Axis (a) 6862.252 km 6861.111 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.000705 0.000111
    Inclination (i) 97.5338° 43.0036°
    RAAN 4.1745° 20.4466°
    Perigee Argument 346.6544° 275.9249°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 13.4507° 84.1476°
    Apogee 488.951 km 483.736 km
    Perigee 479.279 km 482.212 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-10-20T11:06:56+0000 2026-10-20T06:27:46+0000

    CZ-2C DEB & STARLINK-31873 Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    CZ-2C DEB & STARLINK-31873 Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    CZ-2C DEB & STARLINK-31873 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    CZ-2C DEB & STARLINK-31873 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    CZ-2C DEBMiss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-31873Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    CZ-2C DEBCollision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-31873Collision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with CZ-2C DEB

    No nearby objects data