Conjunction Event Detail

    ✅
    Low Risk
    Low collision probability. Continue monitoring.
    1.519854E-6
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-10-21T04:40:15+0800
    View CDM
    Download CDM 1.0

    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 39546
    NORAD ID 39546
    Object Type DEBRIS
    Country
    CIS CIS
    ← VS →

    2 Object 2

    AOE ID 61189
    NORAD ID 61189
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    CN CN

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter COSMOS 2251 DEB JILIN-01 KUANFU 02B 1
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-10-21T04:49:15+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 1.519854E-6
    Conjunction Distance (km) 2.734 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 14.861 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): -1.432 | I (In-track): -0.463 | C (Cross-track): 2.282
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.39
    X Position (km) -2871.661 -2872.299
    Position Y (km) -251.942 -249.975
    Position Z (km) -6298.28 -6296.492
    Velocity X (km/s) -4.707 6.306
    Velocity Y (km/s) -5.464 2.952
    Velocity Z (km/s) 2.371 -2.99

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter COSMOS 2251 DEB JILIN-01 KUANFU 02B 1
    Semimajor Axis (a) 6946.289 km 6918.118 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.003878 0.000532
    Inclination (i) 73.9956° 97.5537°
    RAAN 225.9969° 21.1225°
    Perigee Argument 302.4610° 336.5375°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 57.2829° 23.5610°
    Apogee 595.092 km 543.662 km
    Perigee 541.212 km 536.300 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-10-20T03:31:05+0000 2026-10-20T11:48:52+0000

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & JILIN-01 KUANFU 02B 1 Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & JILIN-01 KUANFU 02B 1 Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & JILIN-01 KUANFU 02B 1 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & JILIN-01 KUANFU 02B 1 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEBMiss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    JILIN-01 KUANFU 02B 1Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEBCollision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    JILIN-01 KUANFU 02B 1Collision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with COSMOS 2251 DEB

    No nearby objects data