Conjunction Event Detail

    ⚠
    High Risk
    High collision probability. Maneuver recommended for primary asset.
    1.592622E-4
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-10-20T00:04:27+0800
    View CDM
    Download CDM 1.0

    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 19210
    NORAD ID 19210
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    CIS CIS
    ← VS →

    2 Object 2

    AOE ID 69990
    NORAD ID 69990
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    US US

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter COSMOS 1953 STARLINK-38070
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-10-21T00:04:25+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 1.592622E-4
    Conjunction Distance (km) 0.558 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 14.932 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): -0.513 | I (In-track): -0.033 | C (Cross-track): 0.214
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.79
    X Position (km) 785.581 785.337
    Position Y (km) 442.914 442.773
    Position Z (km) 6775.754 6775.273
    Velocity X (km/s) -2.755 5.413
    Velocity Y (km/s) 7.121 -5.377
    Velocity Z (km/s) -0.14 -0.276

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter COSMOS 1953 STARLINK-38070
    Semimajor Axis (a) 6849.585 km 6843.657 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.001199 0.000132
    Inclination (i) 82.5043° 97.2826°
    RAAN 292.9438° 133.5099°
    Perigee Argument 60.4040° 101.2730°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 299.8394° 258.8661°
    Apogee 479.660 km 466.427 km
    Perigee 463.236 km 464.613 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-10-19T02:12:10+0000 2026-10-19T00:41:31+0000

    COSMOS 1953 & STARLINK-38070 Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    COSMOS 1953 & STARLINK-38070 Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1953 & STARLINK-38070 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    COSMOS 1953 & STARLINK-38070 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1953Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-38070Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1953Collision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-38070Collision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with COSMOS 1953

    No nearby objects data