Conjunction Event Detail

    ⚠
    Medium Risk
    Monitor closely. Maneuver recommended for primary asset.
    9.5043E-5
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-10-21T04:20:19+0800
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    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 34792
    NORAD ID 34792
    Object Type DEBRIS
    Country
    CIS CIS
    ← VS →

    2 Object 2

    AOE ID 40019
    NORAD ID 40019
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    US US

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter COSMOS 2251 DEB APRIZESAT 10
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-10-20T20:25:09+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 9.5043E-5
    Conjunction Distance (km) 0.657 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 13.151 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): 0.437 | I (In-track): 0.229 | C (Cross-track): 0.434
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.75
    X Position (km) 1710.053 1709.683
    Position Y (km) 941.829 941.908
    Position Z (km) 6803.708 6804.245
    Velocity X (km/s) -3.325 -3.626
    Velocity Y (km/s) 6.72 -6.297
    Velocity Z (km/s) -0.088 1.754

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter COSMOS 2251 DEB APRIZESAT 10
    Semimajor Axis (a) 7077.647 km 7036.035 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.001421 0.007753
    Inclination (i) 74.0166° 97.9814°
    RAAN 297.4340° 56.6507°
    Perigee Argument 308.9904° 236.8533°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 170.7304° 122.5219°
    Apogee 709.567 km 712.447 km
    Perigee 689.453 km 603.349 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-10-20T04:05:06+0000 2026-10-19T08:09:14+0000

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & APRIZESAT 10 Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & APRIZESAT 10 Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & APRIZESAT 10 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & APRIZESAT 10 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEBMiss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    APRIZESAT 10Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEBCollision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    APRIZESAT 10Collision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with COSMOS 2251 DEB

    No nearby objects data