Conjunction Event Detail

    ⚠
    High Risk
    High collision probability. Maneuver recommended for primary asset.
    3.050446E-4
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-10-19T21:33:34+0800
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    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 47073
    NORAD ID 47073
    Object Type DEBRIS
    Country
    CIS CIS
    ← VS →

    2 Object 2

    AOE ID 61475
    NORAD ID 61475
    Object Type DEBRIS
    Country
    CN CN

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter COSMOS 2251 DEB CZ-6A DEB
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-10-20T18:03:12+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 3.050446E-4
    Conjunction Distance (km) 0.411 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 14.563 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): -0.408 | I (In-track): 0.004 | C (Cross-track): -0.042
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.85
    X Position (km) 3527.769 3527.939
    Position Y (km) 2882.707 2882.9
    Position Z (km) 5592.076 5592.396
    Velocity X (km/s) -6.024 4.417
    Velocity Y (km/s) -0.744 4.044
    Velocity Z (km/s) 4.323 -4.628

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter COSMOS 2251 DEB CZ-6A DEB
    Semimajor Axis (a) 7253.948 km 7491.489 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.016173 0.043630
    Inclination (i) 74.0847° 88.3921°
    RAAN 24.3460° 221.5442°
    Perigee Argument 347.1254° 100.0376°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 12.5773° 265.0280°
    Apogee 993.130 km 1440.205 km
    Perigee 758.492 km 786.499 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-10-17T12:55:06+0000 2026-10-18T18:49:01+0000

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & CZ-6A DEB Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & CZ-6A DEB Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & CZ-6A DEB Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    COSMOS 2251 DEB & CZ-6A DEB Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEBMiss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    CZ-6A DEBMiss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2251 DEBCollision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    CZ-6A DEBCollision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with COSMOS 2251 DEB

    No nearby objects data