Conjunction Event Detail

    ⚠
    High Risk
    High collision probability. Maneuver recommended for primary asset.
    1.954809E-4
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-10-20T04:43:12+0800
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    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 19210
    NORAD ID 19210
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    CIS CIS
    ← VS →

    2 Object 2

    AOE ID 57525
    NORAD ID 57525
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    US US

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter COSMOS 1953 STARLINK-30253
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-10-20T16:46:58+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 1.954809E-4
    Conjunction Distance (km) 0.484 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 12.023 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): 0.174 | I (In-track): 0.271 | C (Cross-track): -0.361
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.81
    X Position (km) -2489.486 -2489.135
    Position Y (km) 4882.573 4882.747
    Position Z (km) -4132.104 -4131.822
    Velocity X (km/s) 0.944 -7.053
    Velocity Y (km/s) -4.588 -1.531
    Velocity Z (km/s) -6 2.441

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter COSMOS 1953 STARLINK-30253
    Semimajor Axis (a) 6849.572 km 6861.189 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.001196 0.000118
    Inclination (i) 82.5044° 43.0024°
    RAAN 292.6135° 180.1776°
    Perigee Argument 59.4146° 258.8709°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 300.8273° 101.2010°
    Apogee 479.629 km 483.864 km
    Perigee 463.241 km 482.240 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-10-19T10:02:36+0000 2026-10-19T01:49:18+0000

    COSMOS 1953 & STARLINK-30253 Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    COSMOS 1953 & STARLINK-30253 Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1953 & STARLINK-30253 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    COSMOS 1953 & STARLINK-30253 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1953Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-30253Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1953Collision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-30253Collision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with COSMOS 1953

    No nearby objects data