Conjunction Event Detail

    ⚠
    Medium Risk
    Monitor closely. Maneuver recommended for primary asset.
    2.178925E-5
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-10-20T00:04:25+0800
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    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 19210
    NORAD ID 19210
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    CIS CIS
    ← VS →

    2 Object 2

    AOE ID 57525
    NORAD ID 57525
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    US US

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter COSMOS 1953 STARLINK-30253
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-10-20T16:46:58+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 2.178925E-5
    Conjunction Distance (km) 1.022 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 12.023 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): -0.194 | I (In-track): -0.621 | C (Cross-track): -0.786
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.62
    X Position (km) -2489.445 -2488.726
    Position Y (km) 4882.316 4882.836
    Position Z (km) -4132.468 -4131.963
    Velocity X (km/s) 0.944 -7.053
    Velocity Y (km/s) -4.589 -1.531
    Velocity Z (km/s) -6 2.44

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter COSMOS 1953 STARLINK-30253
    Semimajor Axis (a) 6849.585 km 6861.189 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.001199 0.000118
    Inclination (i) 82.5043° 43.0024°
    RAAN 292.9438° 180.1776°
    Perigee Argument 60.4040° 258.8709°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 299.8394° 101.2010°
    Apogee 479.660 km 483.864 km
    Perigee 463.236 km 482.240 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-10-19T02:12:10+0000 2026-10-19T01:49:18+0000

    COSMOS 1953 & STARLINK-30253 Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    COSMOS 1953 & STARLINK-30253 Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1953 & STARLINK-30253 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    COSMOS 1953 & STARLINK-30253 Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1953Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-30253Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 1953Collision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    STARLINK-30253Collision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with COSMOS 1953

    No nearby objects data