Conjunction Event Detail

    ✅
    Very Low Risk
    Very low collision probability. Continue monitoring.
    6.230409E-7
    Collision Probability (Pc)
    Last Conjunction Event Update Time 2026-10-20T15:21:49+0800
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    1 Object 1

    AOE ID 44424
    NORAD ID 44424
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    CIS CIS
    ← VS →

    2 Object 2

    Name AE5RB
    AOE ID 66693
    NORAD ID 66693
    Object Type PAYLOAD
    Country
    JP JP

    Conjunction Constraints

    Parameter COSMOS 2538 AE5RB
    Time of Closest Approach 2026-10-20T09:23:07+0000
    Collision Probability (Pc) 6.230409E-7
    Conjunction Distance (km) 2.057 km
    Relative Speed (km/s) 1.028 km/s
    Conjunction Risk Parameters R (Radial): -1.027 | I (In-track): 1.78 | C (Cross-track): -0.079
    Collision Risk Index (CRI) 0.31
    X Position (km) -304.509 -306.315
    Position Y (km) 859.314 859.175
    Position Z (km) -6811.268 -6812.242
    Velocity X (km/s) 7.394 7.558
    Velocity Y (km/s) 1.811 0.81
    Velocity Z (km/s) -0.075 -0.237

    Orbital Parameters 国际轨道数据源

    Parameter COSMOS 2538 AE5RB
    Semimajor Axis (a) 6878.316 km 6867.123 km
    Eccentricity (e) 0.004004 0.000217
    Inclination (i) 97.5795° 97.4057°
    RAAN 13.2437° 4.9306°
    Perigee Argument 331.2526° 294.7633°
    Mean Anomaly (M) 28.6503° 65.3379°
    Apogee 527.719 km 490.478 km
    Perigee 472.639 km 487.494 km
    Orbit Epoch 2026-10-19T22:44:06+0000 2026-10-19T10:10:30+0000

    COSMOS 2538 & AE5RB Collision Probability (Pc) Trend

    COSMOS 2538 & AE5RB Collision Probability (Pc) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2538 & AE5RB Miss Distance (Miss Distance) Trend

    COSMOS 2538 & AE5RB Miss Distance (Miss Distance) TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2538Miss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 1 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    AE5RBMiss Distance Trend with All Objects

    Object 2 Miss Distance TrendNot Available

    COSMOS 2538Collision Probability Trend

    Object 1 Probability TrendNot Available

    AE5RBCollision Probability Trend

    Object 2 Probability TrendNot Available

    Nearby Objects with COSMOS 2538

    No nearby objects data